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Why EIA says 78% of the capacity planned for 2017 came online and the monthly survey says 64%: the two surveys listed different projects
In my last post, January's EIA-860M plans for 2017-2025 delivered 62% of their capacity in the planned year. For 2017, EIA's own count said 78%, and 86% for onshore wind against my 62.5%. Two pre-registered tests, both run in sealed jobs on PUDL's copies of EIA's data, now explain the gap.
It is not how "online" is counted. Dating every generator in the January 2017 plan by the annual EIA-860 instead of the monthly survey gives 16,733 MW online in 2017 against 16,751 MW; onshore wind is ...
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