Tech
Confident Is Not Correct: Three Signs That Claude Is Guessing
The answer arrives clean, well-formatted, and certain. You run it. The config flag doesn't exist.
Nothing in the response told you the difference between the parts it was sure about and the parts it filled in. The syntax was right. The explanation was reasonable. The flag had a sensible name and a clear purpose. It just wasn't real.
This is a calibration problem, not a trust problem. "Don't trust AI" is useless advice. It tells you to doubt everything, which is the same as doubting nothing...
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