Many have speculations on how the Anthropic saga with Fable will end. Prediction markets cover it too, giving a <50% chance of a re-release by July 1. This post isn't about my conclusion. Instead I want to share how AI can be used for world-modeling such situations, and gesture towards what the world will look like with autonomous AI systems get better at this than humans. I see three challenges with modeling the Anthropic situation: I can't rule out 4 different versions of what happe...