I have noticed that from the last time I checked up on AI discourse a few months ago, everyone has seemingly shifted to thinking that AGI and shortly after ASI are foregone conclusions. I don't know much about the internals of the actual field and was wondering if any actual AI experts here could walk me through what is actually going on. From what I have been reading, we are guaranteed to reach AGI in a decade at most, and after that, the AGIs can make the ASI (like in the paper google recently...