The World Cup group stage has finished, and I’ve seen countless posts using AI to predict match outcomes. On the surface, it looks like straightforward prediction: you input teams, statistics, and match context, and it outputs a win or loss result. Using different AIs and different prompts produces different results, yet each one feels hard to dismiss because the reasoning behind them is so coherent. I can’t help but wonder: is AI actually predicting outcomes, or is it simply generating expl...