Artificial
We asked 4 AIs to beat Polymarket
so we started an experiment this week. every few days we take one of the biggest markets on polymarket thats about to expire, ask chatgpt, claude, gemini and grok to commit to a call before it resolves, then score every model when it does. no hedging, one call each with reasoning and a confidence number, locked in public before resolution. first two markets are in. the fed decision next week, market prices 75% no change, all four models said hold, though confidence ranged from 72 to 86. and st...
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