Every delivery manager I've worked with runs a prediction model on Monday morning. It's called dread. Open the portfolio, scan 30 projects, and your gut sorts them: these five worry me, those twenty are fine, and that one — that one is going to blow up this month. No math. But it's a real model: inputs (velocity, escalations, that PM who's gone quiet), weights (learned from years of pain), and an output (who gets your attention today). I spent 10 years in SRE and DevOps building that kind ...