Every spring there are plenty of "how many games will each team win" projections. Most of them build a forecast for each player and add the players up by team. I had long wondered how well that actually works. So I built one of my own and checked it against the 2026 MLB season. I froze the projections in a repository before looking at the results, so nothing could be adjusted afterwards. I have no experience inside the game; this is just an analysis of public data. Data and method...